The Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) heads to Sonoma Raceway for the first street race of the 2019 season. In an additional twist, this will be the first time since 1997 that the series races around the complete 2.52-mile design, which comprises the”Carousel” segment, rather than the 1.99 mile layout used the past two decades.
Sonoma is a road course, much slower compared to its longtime counterpart on the Cup schedule.
NASCAR Props Challenge Picks for Sunday’s Toyota/Save Mart 350 in Sonoma
Read today When gambling this race an important note: Don’t overvalue overall street course functionality. All my top performing models show that street course performance isn’t a element that is significant.
Rather, monitor record at Sonoma far outweighs performance across all the road courses (like the Charlotte Roval which was conducted for the first time in last season’s playoffs). Other aspects in my versions include functionality across all races, and both long-run and brief rate in practice.
One other significant factor which is not predictive of finishing winning or position: beginning place. Since 2005, eight of the 14 winners have begun 10th or worse, including two drivers winning despite starting in the 30s.
On the reverse side, just two drivers have won from the front row (both starting second), and only four drivers starting within the top five have won. If books overreact to qualifying, this can be a chance to jump on some worth from elite motorists staring mid-pack, or fade sub-par Sonoma drivers starting toward the front.
Bearing that in mind, let’s look at the top futures stakes for Sunday’s race, including some very surprising chances for the motorist that sits atop my version.
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