NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at Toyota Owners 400

For first time this year, NASCAR will be under the lights when the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday in Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR in Richmond as the leader at the NASCAR Monster Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He’s searching for his fourth win of this year along with the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds give him a 9-4 opportunity to receive it starts in fifth position after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the fastest speed in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, providing him the pole position. His NASCAR at Richmond odds have moved from 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are among the other leading contenders at this .75-mile brief course. Before bending in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 picks of your own, first make certain to check out the NASCAR predictions from the proven computer version at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track record and recent results into account.

The model is off to a solid start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four competition from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included placing winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It also nailed Busch’s huge win at Bristol a week. Anyone who has followed its selections is far up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like Richmond Raceway have been in his bloodstream. His version simulated the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For NASCAR at Richmond 2019we can tell you that the model is high on Kyle Larson, making a strong run at taking the checkered flag despite heading off at 25-1 NASCAR at Richmond odds.

Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, that’s that the third-best among active drivers. He has finished seventh or better in four of the last five events at Richmond and won the Richmond fall race in 2017. He will start in 14th place after a marginally slower than expected qualifying period of 123.54 MPH. However he posted the fastest lap (121.70 MPH) at the first practice session on Friday, so he’s revealed the speed required to climb the NASCAR in Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.

And a huge shocker: Truex Jr., among the top Vegas favorites in 6-1, does not crack the top five. There are far better worth in a loaded 2019 NASCAR in Richmond lineup.

The 39-year-old veteran is sitting at seventh in the standings, but he’s tapered off recently. Truex finished 12th in Texas Motor Speedway and then fought last week in Bristol, ending 17th. In his career, Truex has not fared very well at Richmond Raceway either. In reality, he’s finished in the top five just three times in 26 career starts at the track.

The version is also targeting two additional drivers using 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances of 20-1 or more time to make a serious run at winning it all. Anybody who backs these long shots can hit it big.

Read more: