NASCAR at Bristol odds, picks 2019: Model says Kurt Busch surprises at Food City 500

The 2019 Food City 500 occurs on Sunday at mythical Bristol Motor Speedway. The green flag falls at two p.m. ET, and each corner counts as a result of tight, steeply-banked track where death is at a premium. Last week, Denny Hamlin captured his second victory of the 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season at Texas Motor Speedway. He has a win at Bristol under his belt and can be recorded at 14-1 to triumph in the most current 2019 Food City 500 odds. But, there are six drivers using 2019 NASCAR at Bristol chances better than Hamlin, as Kyle Busch (5-2) is the preferred followed by Kyle Larson (7-1), Brad Keselowski (8-1), Joey Logano (8-1), Ryan Blaney (12-1) and Kevin Harvick (12-1). So before you make your own 2019 Food City 500 picks, visit the NASCAR at Bristol predictions from the proven pc version at SportsLine.

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track record and recent results into consideration.

The model is off to a solid start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top-four competition from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top . It was all over Kyle Busch as a leading contender at the TicketGuardian 500 and four of those motorists at McClure’s top five went to top-five finishes at the Automobile Club 400. Anybody who has followed its selections is far up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic places like Bristol Motor Speedway are in his bloodstream. His model mimicked the 2019 Food City 500 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For Sundaywe could tell you the model is high on Kurt Busch, making a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off as a very long shot at 14-1 NASCAR in Bristol odds.

Busch is a six-time winner in Bristol Motor Speedway and his brother, Kyle Busch (seven), has more wins in this course among busy NASCAR drivers. This comes with a victory last August at the NASCAR in Bristol race because of his 30th career victory in NASCAR’s top series.

The 40-year-old veteran and 2004 series champion fought his way into the front of the pack from the ninth starting position in that race also has also previously come in the 27th and 13th starting positions to succeed at Bristol. He beat Larson by 0.367 seconds last time NASCAR visited Bristol and certainly will start 27th on Sunday. He’s off to a hot start this year also, finishing in the top 10 in all but two races. He finished second at the Clash at Daytona and third in Atlanta.

And a huge shocker: Ryan Blaney, among the top Vegas favorites in 12-1, does not crack the top five. There are far better values compared to 12-1 premium he is commanding.

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