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LSU vs Florida NCAAF Pick – Week 7

LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators both come into this Saturdays match with statement successes.
LSU moved to Texas and beat against the Longhorns. The Gators stifled then-No. 7 Auburn in the Swamp weekend. However, during this weeks matchup at Death Valley, the two teams look to take a spot in the race more than .
Floridas defense leads the solution for them. Theyve given that the 8th-fewest offensive touchdowns (5), and have not given up a point from the 4th quarter since their opener. Since he went 11 for 27 with three INTs into making decisions that were several a week Auburn QB Bo Nix flustered.
However, Joe Burrow isnt Nix. Hes a veteran quarterback, and it has led LSU. Theyve averaged 54.6 points-per-game, the most in college soccer. That contains the 45 they dumped on Texas on the road.
As underdogs on BetNow that the Gators come in with Death Valley awaitings roar. Can the No. 5 scoring shield keep this close and cover the spread? Or will the No. 2 passing offense and Burrow keep rolling up and win the wager? Here is the breakdown.
There is very little uncertainty in the skill of Burrow . He has transformed to a Heisman candidate, obtaining a immaculate 22/3 TD/INT ratio and 11.5 yards-per-attempt (3rd in the FBS).
Hes also working with a few of the very best getting teams in the country. The trio of JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, and Terrace Marshall Jr. have combined for 19 touchdowns along with 73 receptions, together with averages over 15 YPC for all three.
Jefferson has good length with his 63 frame, and it has dominated in some huge games. Chase is a presence on the other side. Marshall Jr. will sit until November with a foot injury, but Derrick Dillon is a seasoned target that will fill the spot. Its all a part of a passing game that has Burrow in a 78.4% completion percentage.
Theyll face by far the DB unit theyve played with . Northwestern State is a FCS team, but here would be the yards-per-attempt given up by LSUs additional competitions: Utah State 103rd, Texas 124th, Vanderbilt 128th, and Georgia Southern 111th.
Florida sits at 33rd, even although its safe to say they have yet to perform a QB of all Burrows standard. Theyve played with two FCS QBs, a true freshman (Nix), a redshirt freshman making his first start (Jarren Williams, Miami), and Still, C.J. Henderson had been preseason All-American who is living up to his own billing. Shawn Davis creates a bunch of havoc at the secondary (111 metres on 3 INTs). Marco Wilson is a bit on spot, but has a high ceiling.
Burrow will face a ominous pass-rush, which will be fully healthy for the first time because their 10 sacks versus Miami. Jabari Zuniga, thought to function as very best is coming back from injury. With him on one side along with Jonathan Greenard (4.0 sacks/6.5 TKFL) around the other, LSUs 63rd-ranked sofa rate on their o-line will be tested.
Ever since Kyle Trask substituted Feleipe Franks (ankle injury) as Floridas quarterback, the Gators have outscored opponents 115-16.
He has to get flustered with an opposing lineup, while his consciousness need to enhance from the pocket. Auburns ranks 11th in lineup yards, and is the best in the country, according to Football Outsiders.
LSU is ranked 31st and will be 85th in sack speed. They will rely on blitzing LBs to assist throw Trask off his game. Even the Florida QB is confident in the pocket but is not out of it. He sprained a knee in the last match and wore a leg brace when he reentered the match.
Together with all the LBs All-American security Grant Delpit needs to develop big in policy. He probably will face off against a matchup nightmare in Florida TE Kyle Pitts (25 receptions). Neutralizing Pitts (65-240pounds, 4.6 40-yard dashboard ) is critical to LSUs success on D.
LSU–like Floridas secondary–is most regarded as DBU for the gift they possess on the perimeter of their defense. Derek Stingley Jr. is continuing this legacy with performances which should land him around the All-Freshman team, if not more, in 2019.
Will probably likely soon be Kristian Fulton, that allowed the least amount of downs this past year out of returning FBS corners. Itll be given a chance against a pressured Trask though this group is now in passing yards allowed per-game, 69th.
Balance will be crucial as ever for Florida, who hasnt got their running game going yet. Last weekend broke a tackle at the line on his way. Despite that, the Florida o-line rankings 113th based on yards and also can be going up against the No. 1 d-line in terms of energy achievement (short-yardage scenarios ).
Even though the LSU front might not be potent. However, Florida only compiles 3.66 YPA on the floor, and that is like Perines long term and a 76-yard receiver sweep that closed from the Kentucky game.
It puts a lot of pressure on Trask at a hostile environment, Should they dont buy Dameon or Perine Pierce going regularly.
Florida has earned respect from the school football world following a week. And while I do not expect them to come out in Death Valley with a win against LSU, I do see this game staying closer than many.
LSUs offense made strides, and Burrow is just one of the QBs in the FBS. However, LSU is not likely to install 45 or anything near that against a defense who is known at all three levels. Their pass-rush has completely developed with Greenard wreaking chaos.
As the team has relied on them far too much to modify the wave in games, the Gators defense will work out with time. Marco Wilson is going to be the topic to some late-game PIs against the Chase or Jefferson.
However, I do not expect this until late in the fourth quarter. Keeping the match in enough of a slog until then makes Florida the wager on Saturday.
Prediction: LSU (30) — Florida (20)

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